نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشیار علوم اقتصادی، گروه علوم اقتصادی، دانشکده اقتصاد و علوم اجتماعی، دانشگاه شهید چمران، اهواز، ایران

2 کارشناس ارشد علوم اقتصادی، گروه علوم اقتصادی، دانشکده اقتصاد و مدیریت، دانشگاه تبریز، تبریز، ایران

3 دکتری اقتصاد شهری، گروه علوم اقتصادی، دانشکده اقتصاد و علوم اجتماعی، دانشگاه شهید چمران، اهواز، ایران

https://doi.org/10.34785/J025.2022.022

چکیده

خاورمیانه از جمله مناطق بسیار متلاطم و بی ­ثبات در جهان است که از دیرباز به دلیل عوامل سیاسی، اجتماعی و منابع فراوان انرژی، محل بسیاری از تنش ­ها داخلی و بین­ المللی بوده است. از جمله متغیرهایی که در چند دهه اخیر همواره در کشورهای خاورمیانه و به ویژه کشورهای نفتی  همواره در حال رشد بوده است، مخارج دفاعی بوده است که تحت تاثیر عوامل مختلفی قرار داشته است. بررسی عوامل موثر بر مخارج دفاعی در کشورهای خاورمیانه حاوی دلالت­ های سیاست­گذاری گسترده­ای برای کشورهای این منطقه خواهد بود. از همین ­رو، هدف این مقاله بررسی عوامل موثر بر تابع تقاضای مخارج دفاعی در کشورهای خاور میانه طی دوره زمانی 2019-1980 با رویکرد رگرسیون کوانتایل بود. نتایج این مطالعه نشان داد که GDP، قیمت نفت و تجارت خارجی تاثیر مثبت و مخارج غیرنظامی تاثیر منفی بر مخارج دفاعی دارد. همچنین مخارج دفاعی سایر کشورها بر مخارج دفاعی هرکشور تاثیر مثبت و معناداری دارد که به مفهوم تائید فرضیه رقابت نظامی در کشورهای مورد مطالعه است. براساس سایر نتایج این مطالعه اثر عوامل موثر بر مخارج دفاعی در کشورهای مورد مطالعه در مجموع متقارن است.

کلیدواژه‌ها

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