سیاست ها و تحقیقات اقتصادی

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تأثیر آستانه‌ای پیچیدگی اقتصادی بر وابستگی به منابع طبیعی در کشورهای منطقه MENA

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسنده

دانش‌آموخته دکتری، گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده علوم اقتصادی و اداری، دانشگاه لرستان، خرم‌آباد، ایران.

چکیده

هدف اصلی پژوهش حاضر پاسخ به این پرسش است که آیا افزایش پیچیدگی اقتصادی راه‌حل مناسبی برای کاهش وابستگی به منابع طبیعی در کشورهای منطقه MENA است؟ در این راستا، با استفاده از اطلاعات و داده‌های آماری 11 کشور این منطقه طی دوره زمانی 2022-2000، به بررسی تأثیر آستانه‌ای پیچیدگی اقتصادی بر وابستگی به منابع طبیعی در سطح کل و تفکیکی پرداخته شده است. به این منظور از تجزیه‌وتحلیل‌های ریشه واحد و هم‌انباشتگی پانلی با وابستگی مقطعی و برآوردگر مدل خطی تعمیم‌یافته (GLM) استفاده شده است. نتایج به‌دست‌آمده تأییدکننده تأثیر آستانه‌ای پیچیدگی اقتصادی بر رانت کل منابع طبیعی، رانت نفت، رانت گاز طبیعی و رانت جنگل و اثر بی‌معنای آن بر رانت معدن است. بر اساس سطح آستانه محاسبه شده، اثر پیچیدگی اقتصادی بر رانت کل منابع طبیعی و رانت نفت، منفی و اثر پیچیدگی اقتصادی بر رانت گاز طبیعی و رانت جنگل به‌ترتیب به شکل U معکوس و U می‌باشد. متوسط اثر نهایی پیچیدگی اقتصادی نیز بر رانت کل منابع طبیعی، رانت نفت، رانت گاز طبیعی و رانت جنگل به‌ترتیب حدود 09/19-، 88/17-، 09/1- و 01/0 برآورد شده است. بر این اساس می‌توان گفت که پیچیدگی اقتصادی وابستگی به منابع انرژی را در کشورهای مورد مطالعه کاهش می‌دهد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

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سیاست ها و تحقیقات اقتصادی
دوره 3، شماره 1 - شماره پیاپی 9
خرداد 1403
صفحه 138-174
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هم رسانی
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